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Source: The Hindu BusinessLine

The Hindu BusinessLine
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RBI & Policy
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2 min
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13 Jul
Published
RBI & Policy
2 min read· The Hindu BusinessLine

Frontloaded inflows of $8-9 bn at systemic level possible via fresh FCNR(B) deposits: SBI Eco Research

The RBI is offering a special deal to help Indian banks get more foreign currency deposits. This new plan could bring billions of dollars into the banking system very soon.

The State Bank of India's (SBI) Economic Research Department has shared some exciting news for the banking sector. They expect a massive inflow of $8 billion to $9 billion through FCNR(B) deposits. FCNR(B) stands for Foreign Currency Non-Resident (Bank) deposits. These are accounts where NRIs can keep their money in foreign currencies like US Dollars. The report says these funds will arrive quickly because of the RBI's new concessional swap window.

A swap window is a special deal where the RBI helps banks convert foreign money into Indian Rupees at a fixed cost. This time, the RBI is bearing the entire hedging cost (the cost to protect against currency price changes) on the principal amount. This is a huge relief for banks. It means banks do not have to worry about the cost of the exchange rate moving against them. This improves the 'spread' or the profit margin for the banks on these deposits.

This plan is based on a similar successful scheme from 2013, but there are some big improvements this time. In 2013, most of the money came in only during the last month of the offer. This time, the SBI economists believe the money will be 'front-loaded.' This means the dollars will start flowing into the banks right away rather than at the very end. This gives the Indian banking system more stability early on.

There is also more clarity this time regarding SBLC (Standby Letter of Credit). An SBLC is like a legal guarantee from a bank to pay if the client cannot. By making the rules clear from the start, foreign partner banks feel more confident. This helps Indian banks build momentum and start collecting deposits faster. The RBI has also given a longer 'runway' or a time limit of four months for this scheme, allowing banks to plan better.

Another important change is the focus on longer-term money. In 2013, most deposits were for 3 years or less. In 2026, the focus is on 5-year deposits. For a bank officer, this is great news because it means the capital is more stable. The bank does not have to worry about all the money leaving the system too quickly. It helps in managing the long-term balance sheet of the bank effectively.

Despite these expected inflows and strong buying from Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs) in the debt segment, the Rupee has stayed steady. FPIs are foreign companies that invest in Indian bonds and shares. Even though billions of dollars are coming in, the Rupee has not moved as much as some expected. However, India's Foreign Currency Assets (FCA)—which is the foreign money held by the central bank—have gone up slightly.

For bank officers, this means there will be a push to market these FCNR(B) products to NRI clients. The high interest in the debt segment, driven by tax benefits from the government, makes India an attractive place for foreign money right now. Bankers should watch how these inflows affect liquidity (the cash available in the market) and the Rupee's value over the next few months.

The official report notes that these steps by the RBI show a very careful and calculated approach to managing the country's finances. By taking on the hedging risk, the RBI is making it much easier for commercial banks to participate without losing money on currency fluctuations. This move is expected to strengthen the overall banking system and help manage capital flows more smoothly than in previous years.

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Source: The Hindu BusinessLine