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Source: Economic Times

Economic Times
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Banking Sector
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1 min
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27 Aug
Published
Banking Sector
1 min read· Economic Times

India Ratings raises FY27 credit growth forecast to 15%

India Ratings has raised its forecast for bank credit growth in FY27 to 15%. Higher expected-loss provisions could weigh on lenders’ profits, even as faster deposit growth helps ease funding pressure.

The revised outlook points to stronger lending growth across the banking sector. However, the supplied report does not state the agency’s earlier forecast or explain how much the estimate has increased.

Profitability remains a separate concern. India Ratings expects new provisioning requirements for expected losses to put pressure on bank earnings. In practical terms, the outlook combines faster credit expansion with a potential hit to profits from the provisions lenders must make.

On the funding side, deposit growth is also expected to accelerate. That could help moderate loan-to-deposit ratios, which compare lending with the deposit base. The forecast therefore suggests some easing in this measure, rather than credit growth being the only part of the banking outlook to strengthen.

The report does not provide a numerical deposit-growth forecast, an estimate of the profit impact or bank-specific projections. It also does not spell out the implementation details of the provisioning requirements. These gaps matter when assessing how the sector-wide forecast could translate into outcomes for individual lenders.

Source: Economic Times