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Source: The Hindu BusinessLine

The Hindu BusinessLine
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RBI & Policy
Category
2 min
Read time
27 Jul
Published
RBI & Policy
2 min read· The Hindu BusinessLine

Why Singapore’s central bank targets the exchange rate instead of interest rates

Singapore recently changed its monetary policy by using a unique currency exchange method. Find out why they focus on exchange rates instead of interest rates to manage prices.

The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS), which is their central bank, recently surprised everyone by tightening its monetary policy. Usually, central banks like the RBI change interest rates (the cost of borrowing) to control inflation. However, Singapore does things differently. Instead of moving interest rates up or down, they manage the exchange rate of the Singapore Dollar to keep prices stable.

Singapore uses a unique system called the S$NEER (Singapore Dollar Nominal Effective Exchange Rate). This is basically a basket of currencies from Singapore's main trading partners. The MAS manages the Singapore dollar's value against this basket. Because Singapore is a small country that imports almost everything, the value of their currency matters much more than local interest rates when it comes to controlling costs.

To understand why this works, think about imports. Almost 40 cents of every dollar spent in Singapore goes toward imported goods. If the Singapore dollar is strong (appreciation), then buying things from abroad becomes cheaper. This helps keep inflation low for local families. This is why the MAS focuses on the exchange rate to control the 'general price level' (the average price of goods and services).

Instead of a fixed price, the MAS uses a 'policy band.' This is like a price range where the currency can move up and down. The exact levels of this range are a secret. If the currency value moves too far outside this range, the MAS steps in to buy or sell Singapore dollars in the market to push the price back to where they want it.

There are three main tools the MAS uses to adjust this policy. First is the 'slope,' which decides how fast the currency should get stronger over time. Second is the 'level' or mid-point; changing this is a big move used for emergencies like a recession (a period of low economic growth). Third is the 'width' of the band, which decides how much the currency value is allowed to jump around or be volatile.

For Indian bankers and aspirants, this is an important case study in different styles of Central Banking. While the RBI uses the Repo Rate (the rate at which RBI lends to banks) to manage the Indian economy, Singapore shows that trade-heavy countries must focus on currency value. In 2024, the MAS also shifted to a quarterly review schedule, which is similar to how the RBI meets every few months to discuss the economy.

Keeping an eye on these global policies is vital for anyone in forex (foreign exchange) or international trade departments. Changes in the Singapore dollar can impact Indian exporters and importers who deal with Southeast Asia. When the MAS strengthens its currency, it might make Indian exports look more attractive or cheaper for buyers in Singapore.

In the coming months, the world will watch how Singapore manages its inflation through these quarterly updates. As inflation remains a global worry, the MAS will continue to adjust the slope and level of its policy band. This unique focus on foreign exchange reminds us that in a connected world, the value of money is often just as important as the interest earned on it.

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Source: The Hindu BusinessLine