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Source: The Hindu BusinessLine

RBI opts for sharp liquidity drain through $10.5 billion debt sale
The Reserve Bank of India is launching a massive bond sale to remove excess cash from the banking system. This bold move follows a huge surge in liquidity from foreign exchange inflows.
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has decided to use its most powerful tool to control the amount of cash in the banking system. The central bank announced it will sell government bonds worth ₹1 trillion ($10.47 billion) through Open Market Operations (OMO). This move is designed to soak up excess money that has flooded the market recently. The news came just hours after RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra told the media that all options for managing cash were 'on the table.'
The bond sales will happen in three parts starting from September 16. On September 17, the RBI will sell bonds worth ₹500 billion. These bonds have maturity dates (the date the loan must be repaid) ranging from 2029 to 2032. Two more sales of ₹250 billion each will follow on September 21 and September 28. This scheduled debt sale is a rare move, as the last time the RBI used a planned auction like this was back in October 2014.
Why is the system overflowing with cash? Indian banks recently raised $127 billion through a special foreign exchange scheme. When banks bring in foreign currency and swap it for Indian Rupees with the RBI, it increases the total money supply. Currently, the surplus cash in the banking system is averaging about ₹10.25 trillion. This is roughly 3.8% of all bank deposits, which is considered very high.
For bank officers, this surplus is a double-edged sword. While it means there is plenty of money to lend, it has also pushed overnight interest rates (the rate at which banks lend to each other for one day) too low. When rates fall below the RBI's 'corridor' or target range, it makes it harder for the central bank to control inflation. With global oil prices rising, the RBI wants to make sure there isn't too much easy money fueling further price hikes.
Before deciding on bond sales, the RBI tried other methods like Variable Rate Reverse Repos (VRRR) and dollar-rupee swaps. In a VRRR, banks park their extra cash with the RBI for a few days to earn interest. However, banks did not show much interest in these tools this week. This lack of participation forced the RBI to take the 'nuclear option' of selling bonds, which removes cash from the system for a much longer time.
Treasury heads at some banks have expressed concern about this move. They worry that selling so many bonds will push up bond yields (the interest rate the government pays to borrow). If yields go up, the value of the bonds currently held by banks might fall, leading to mark-to-market losses. Some experts suggested that an Incremental Cash Reserve Ratio (I-CRR) hike would have been a better way to lock away the extra deposits without hurting bond prices.
Customers might see a ripple effect from this policy. When the RBI drains liquidity, it prevents interest rates from falling too low. While this helps savers earn better interest on their deposits, it also means that loan rates are unlikely to come down anytime soon. The move signals that the RBI is very serious about keeping a tight grip on inflation.
Bankers should now watch the upcoming auctions closely. The market will be looking to see if the 10-year benchmark bond yield rises further, as it has already jumped 26 basis points recently. If the bond sales do not clear the surplus, the market expects the RBI might consider a hike in the Cash Reserve Ratio (the percentage of deposits banks must keep with the RBI) as a final step.
