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Source: The Hindu BusinessLine
FCNR(B) deluge softens CD rates; large banks stay away
Banks are now getting short-term funds at much lower costs due to a massive cash surplus. Large lenders have moved away from the market while smaller players take center stage.
The Indian money market is seeing a massive change as Certificate of Deposit (CD) rates have crashed. CD rates (short-term loans taken by banks from the market) have dropped below 6% recently. Just three months ago, these rates were much higher at 7% to 7.25%. This sudden drop is happening because there is too much cash, or liquidity, available in the banking system right now.
The main reason for this extra cash is the FCNR(B) deposit scheme. Banks collected a huge $127.23 billion in Foreign Currency Non-Resident (Bank) deposits. They swapped these dollars with the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to get Indian Rupees. This move flooded the banks with Rupee cash, meaning they no longer need to borrow heavily from the market using CDs to fund their daily operations.
Large banks are the biggest winners in this situation. Because they have plenty of cash from these NRI deposits, they have stopped issuing new CDs. They are also using this cheap money to pay off their old, expensive loans. When big banks stop borrowing, it leaves a lot of investors with nowhere to put their money, which forces interest rates to stay very low.
However, the story is different for mid-sized and smaller banks. These banks could not collect as much FCNR(B) money as the big players. They lack the massive branch networks and global reach to attract large NRI deposits. But the low-rate environment is actually good news for them. Since the market is full of cash, these smaller banks can now borrow money through CDs at much cheaper rates than before.
For these smaller lenders, this is about more than just cheap money. It is an opportunity to build relationships with institutional investors like Mutual Funds and Insurance companies. By issuing CDs now, they can expand their investor base while the costs are low. This helps them prepare for the future when cash might become tight again in the market.
Currently, the total surplus cash in the system is around ₹10.31 lakh crore. Experts believe this amount will increase even more as more FCNR(B) swaps are completed. For bank officers, this means the cost of funds for the bank will remain low for a while. This might lead to better margins, but it also means banks must find ways to lend this extra cash safely.
Looking ahead, market watchers expect CD rates to stay soft for a few more months. While large banks will likely stay away from borrowing, smaller banks will be the most active players in the market. Aspirants should note how RBI's forex policies directly impact the daily interest rates that banks pay to borrow money in India.
